Breezy Breaks and Sunbeams: A Cool Change Hits Melbourne

A Crisp Interruption to the Summer Heat
Melbourne residents should prepare for a significant departure from the typical February warmth today, Thursday, 12 February 2026. After a period of fluctuating temperatures across Victoria, a cool air mass has settled over the city, bringing a brisk and breezy day that will feel more like early autumn than mid-summer. While the early morning may see a few isolated sprinkles, the primary weather story today is the combination of persistent winds and a noticeably lower mercury reading.
Morning: A Chilly Start with Early Sprinkles
Commuters heading into the CBD early this morning will face a crisp start, with temperatures hovering around 12°C to 14°C. The Bureau of Meteorology and local tracking data indicate a 30% chance of light sprinkles during the first few hours of daylight. Cloud cover will remain relatively thick through the morning peak, keeping the air damp and the atmosphere somber. It is recommended to carry a light windbreaker or an umbrella if you are walking through the city streets before 10:00 AM.
Afternoon: Becoming Windy with Peeks of Sun
As we move into the afternoon, the cloud cover is expected to break, offering intermittent periods of sunshine. Despite the sun's appearance, the maximum temperature is forecast to reach only 18°C, which is well below the February average for Melbourne. The most notable feature of the afternoon will be the wind. Westerly winds are expected to strengthen, reaching speeds of approximately 26 km/h with gusts potentially hitting 40 km/h. These breezy conditions will make the actual temperature feel several degrees cooler, particularly in areas exposed to the bay.
Evening and Overnight Outlook
By early evening, the wind is expected to shift slightly to the south-southwest but will remain steady. As the sun sets at approximately 8:22 PM, the temperature will drop back down toward a low of 12°C. Conditions will remain partly cloudy, and while the threat of rain will have largely passed, the humidity will begin to rise overnight. For those planning outdoor dining or evening strolls along the Southbank promenade, an extra layer of clothing will be essential to stay comfortable.
Summary for the Day
- Maximum Temperature: 18°C
- Minimum Temperature: 12°C
- Wind Conditions: Westerly winds at 26 km/h; gusts up to 40 km/h.
- Rainfall: Sprinkles early (20-30% chance); mostly dry afternoon.
- UV Index: Moderate (3), though sun protection is still advised during break-outs.
While there are currently no formal severe weather warnings in place for the Melbourne metropolitan area, the increased wind gusts mean that high-sided vehicles and those working on outdoor sites should exercise standard caution. Tomorrow is expected to bring a slight recovery in temperatures, but for today, Melbourne remains firmly in the grip of this refreshing cool change.

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