Sizzling Skies and Late-Day Sighs: Melbourne Braces for 34°C Before Evening Showers

Sizzling Skies and Late-Day Sighs: Melbourne Braces for 34°C Before Evening Showers

Melbourne is set for a classic summer showdown this Tuesday, 17 February 2026. As the city continues its run of warmer-than-average weather, today promises a significant rise in mercury that will test the resolve of commuters and outdoor workers alike. Residents can expect a day of two halves: a blistering, sun-drenched morning and afternoon, followed by a shifting atmosphere as we head into the evening hours.

A Bright and Pleasant Morning Start

The day kicks off with relatively mild conditions, hovering around 20°C at 9:00 AM. Skies are expected to remain clear and blue throughout the early hours, offering perfect conditions for those heading into the CBD or enjoying an early coffee at one of the city's famous laneways. However, the UV index is predicted to climb rapidly, reaching "Very High" levels by mid-morning. It is essential to apply sunscreen early, as the sun’s bite will be felt long before the afternoon peak.

Intense Afternoon Heat and Peak Temperatures

By early afternoon, Melbourne will feel the full force of the summer sun. Temperatures are forecast to hit a high of 34°C, significantly above the February average. The humidity will remain low, at approximately 38%, creating a dry heat that can be deceptive. While the wind will start as a gentle northerly breeze, it is expected to pick up pace to around 15-25 km/h. Public transport users are advised to stay hydrated, as the heat load in the city center will be substantial between 1:00 PM and 4:00 PM.

The Evening Change: Clouds and Late Showers

As we transition into the evening, the atmosphere will become increasingly unstable. Cloud cover is expected to build from the south-west, signaling the approach of a weak weather system. Meteorological data suggests a 55% chance of light rain, most likely arriving after 6:00 PM. While the rainfall is not expected to be heavy—likely totaling less than 2mm—it may be enough to cause slippery roads for the late commute. Temperatures will gradually retreat to a more comfortable 21°C by nightfall, with skies clearing late into the night.

Daily Weather Summary

• Temperature Range: A minimum of 16°C reaching a peak maximum of 34°C.
• Conditions: Sunny and clear early, becoming overcast with light showers late.
• Rain Warning: 55% chance of precipitation in the evening hours.
• Wind: Northerly winds at 15-25 km/h, easing and shifting late in the day.
• UV Alert: Extremely high levels; sun protection recommended between 9:30 AM and 5:00 PM.